POST 00947E : THINKING THE UNTHINKABLE
Follow-up on Posts 00917E, 00923E, 00931E, 00937E and 00942E
27 June 2006
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The first contribution in this posting comes from Anil Varshney
(mailto:[email protected]) from India. It is followed by a response to
Dr. Suvedi by Rudolf Tangermann (mailto:[email protected]) from the PEI
Team at WHO/HQ.
For those who have read Global Immunization News of June 2006 (page 9), you
may have seen that environmental monitoring is on the PEI agenda. I believe
that sanitation is a critical factor in making the difference between
eradication and elimination. One can thus wonder what are the precise
criteria for undertaking such monitoring in any particular country. And
consequently, why it would not be appropriate for border areas of Nepal
with or without resuming NIDs?
It is true indeed as Rudi writes below, that sanitation is beyond the means
of disease control programmes. But the world is actually on track for
missing this Millenium Goal. If you have explored the Dev-Zone site (Post
0945E), you may have noticed an interesting article by Richard Black, from
BBC News, on the topic. You can access it directly at :
http://www.who.int/vaccines-documents/DocsPDF03/www737.pdf
and take the opportunity to bookmark the BBC News website.
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Dear All
Suvedi has raised a very important issue. Many such polio in adults may be
diagnosed as suffering from other viral disorders such as Guillain-Barré
syndrome. I have two questions :
1. How was polio confirmed in this 15 years-old boy?
2. Were other causes of paralysis ruled out?
It appears that eradication may not be possible like smallpox because both
diseases have different social-medical connotations. In smallpox there is
nothing hidden or silent and the disease spreads rapidly - people are
scared and are willing to do anything to stop the wrath of the Goddess. So
quarantine and containment and vaccination helped
In polio for every case there will be few carriers without symptoms and
there is low mortality as compared to small pox or even Japanese
Encephalitis , response of public is not that great.
Then is the question of immunity ( as seen in UP - India ) children having
Polio even after few doses under NID
How ever the most important factor, environmental eradication, has not been
pursued. I say pursued because in the initial phase of the Polio
eradication, there was talk and discussion on environmental eradication.
However no agency or institution including governments took up the issue.
In India if one was to plot the cases of polio and draw the sewer lines and
Nallah, a correlation could be found
But environmental eradication is NOT easy in terms of finance and resources
for any donor and agencies to clear the muck and dirt in a country. Its a
country’s job to first target the unhygenic condition, educate public and
advise action at home for disinfection of lavatories, drains and nallahs.
other - are we dealing with mutant polio virus or latent virus in the body
which is now showing up like of herpes zoster?
regards
Dr Anil Varshney
India
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Dear TECHNET editor,
We would like to reply to a recent posting on polio eradication by Dr B. K.
Suvedi from Nepal. Dr Suvedi notes that a recent wild-virus confirmed case
of polio reported from Nepal was a '17-year old', found not in a border
district but the interior of Nepal. He suggests that there may be large
pockets of susceptible adults in Nepal, which should be targeted by
immunization activities. He also notes the very poor hygienic and sanitary
conditions in the remaining polio-endemic areas and suggests to include
measures directed at improving hygiene and sanitation as a polio
eradication strategy element.
According to data received from WHO Nepal, the case Dr Suvedi is referring
to was born in 1991 and so was not 17 but 14 years old - so '< 15 yrs' and
within the AFP surveillance age range - when developing paralysis in March
2006. Case investigation showed that he had reportedly never received oral
poliovaccine, even though his birth cohort overall was likely to have
already been well protected against polio: reported coverage of infants
with three doses of OPV in Nepal nationwide was above 70% since 1987 (i.e.,
covering persons well who are now 19-20 years of age, reported coverage was
74% in 1991, the year this case was born). Pockets of lower coverage exist
in all countries, of course, and it is possible that the March 2006 case
would have 'escaped' routine vaccination as an infant.
The 'susceptibility profile' of older people in Nepal - those born before
the vaccine era - will be similar to other developing countries: virtually
all of these will have developed natural immunity through exposure to wild
poliovirus at very early age - a process greatly facilitated by the low
levels of hygiene and sanitation as noted by Dr Suvedi. Thus, there is no
reason to assume that large numbers of adults in Nepal remain susceptible
to poliovirus infection, with no evidence from this importation episode
that would support changing the target age group for supplementary campaigns.
As expected, the virus isolated from the 14-year old boy is genetically
linked to recent wild poliovirus type 1 found in Uttar Pradesh; while other
recent importations into Nepal affected children in districts bordering
India, it is not unexpected to see a case in the interior. Several recent
episodes of virus importation, including some over long distances, confirm
that wild poliovirus can travel in asymptomatic carriers before being
transmitted to a susceptible person.
Dr Suvedi is of course absolutely right when pointing out the prime
importance of hygiene and sanitation problems in facilitating transmission
of any enteric pathogen, including polioviruses. Factors determining
progress in improving sanitation and hygienic practices are complex and
closely linked to the overall status of education and socio-economic
development in a country; it is of course beyond the means of a disease
control programme, or even overall health services, to rapidly improve
overall sanitation to a level that would significantly decrease the
transmission of enteric pathogens.
Thanks again to Dr Suvedi for his queries about polio eradication in Nepal.
Rudi Tangermann,
for the WHO-HQ polio eradication team
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