POST 00683E : VACCINE FORECAST
Follow-up on Posts 00649E, 00662E, 00671E and 00672E
7 June 2004
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Michel Zaffran (mailto:[email protected]) from WHO makes a statement on the
issue of vaccine forecast
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There has been a lot of debate on this forum on the issue of ways and
formula use to project/forecast vaccine requirements.
Indeed, problems/vaccine shortages have been faced by countries in the past
couple of years in relation to the introduction of new vaccines supported
by GAVI/The vaccine Fund.
However, we believe that most of the debate has been caused by
misunderstandings and lack of clarity in some of the messages.
We propose to try and bring this debate to closure with the following
attached statement which described WHO recommended approach to vaccine
needs forecasting.
If the reader of the forum do not find the attached guidelines clear, it
would be useful if messages could be addressed directly to WHO/IVB/Access
to Technologies team (mailto:[email protected]) so that we can improve it.
Note : the request for new and under-used vaccines used in the GAVI annual
report forms
(http://www.vaccinealliance.org/home/Sup ... r_acts.php)
has now been modified to be consistent with the formula described in the
attached guidelines.
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